Villanova 
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 93.9358
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
209 H Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2) 5-15
215 H Yale Ivy ( 5- 8, 94.8) 13-11
222 H Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5) 5-16
228 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 7-10
304 H Drexel CAA ( 7- 7, 91.8) 9- 6
308 A Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 94.3) 8-11
315 A St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 8-12
317 H Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 93.0) 16- 9
329 A Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 94.4) 10- 9
405 A Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 11- 8
412 H St Johns Big East ( 4-11, 90.2) 10- 7
419 H Marquette Big East ( 7- 7, 93.5) 14-13
425 A Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6) 9-17
501 N Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 16-14
503 N Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6) 8- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
209 H Penn State 5-15 -10 -3 -1.62
215 H Yale 13-11 2 0 1.99
222 H Colgate 5-16 -11 -2 - -3.29
228 H Lehigh 7-10 -3 1 - -3.71
304 H Drexel 9- 6 3 3 -0.02
308 A Penn 8-11 -3 -1 -1.82
315 A St Josephs 8-12 -4 -2 - -2.04
317 H Brown 16- 9 7 2 + 3.23
329 A Denver 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.30
405 A Providence 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.81
412 H St Johns 10- 7 3 5 -1.64
419 H Marquette 14-13 1 1 -0.32
425 A Georgetown 9-17 -8 -3 - -2.49
501 N Providence 16-14 2 0 1.95
503 N Georgetown 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.65
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
222 H Colgate 5-16 -11 -2 - -3.29
228 H Lehigh 7-10 -3 1 - -3.71
315 A St Josephs 8-12 -4 -2 - -2.04
425 A Georgetown 9-17 -8 -3 - -2.49
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Brown 16- 9 7 2 + 3.23
329 A Denver 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.30
405 A Providence 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.81
503 N Georgetown 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.65
|
Villanova Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Albany |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) |
Villanova |
Army |
Army |
|
Army   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Bellarmine |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Binghamton |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
Boston Univ   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Brown |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
Bryant |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Bucknell |
Bucknell |
|
Bucknell   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Canisius |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Cleveland St |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Colgate |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
Cornell   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Dartmouth |
Delaware |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Villanova |
Denver |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
Detroit |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Drexel |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
Duke |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Duke |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Fairfield |
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) |
Georgetown |
Hampton |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Harvard |
Harvard |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) |
Harvard |
High Point |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) |
Villanova |
Hobart |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Villanova |
Hofstra |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Holy Cross |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Villanova |
Iona |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Jacksonville |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Villanova |
JHU |
JHU |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) |
JHU |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Lafayette |
Le Moyne |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
 
| |
LIU |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Loyola |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
Manhattan |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Marist |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Marquette |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Maryland |
UMass |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Villanova |
Mass-Lowell |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Mercer |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Mercyhurst |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Merrimack |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Michigan |
Michigan |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Michigan |
Monmouth |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Villanova |
Mt St Marys |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Navy |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Villanova |
NJIT |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) |
Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Ohio State |
Penn |
Penn |
Penn |
 
|
Penn State |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Princeton |
Princeton |
|
Princeton   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Providence |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
Queens |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Quinnipiac |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Richmond |
Richmond |
|
Richmond   3- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Rob Morris |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Rutgers |
Sacred Heart |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Villanova |
Siena |
Siena |
|
 
| Siena |
St B'venture |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
St Johns |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
 
| |
Stony Brook |
Villanova |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Villanova |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Syracuse |
Towson |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Villanova |
UMBC |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Villanova |
Utah |
Villanova |
|
Villanova   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Vermont |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Virginia |
Virginia |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Virginia |
VMI |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Wagner |
Villanova |
|
 
| Villanova |
Yale |
Villanova |
Villanova |
 
| |
PowerWise = 49

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Penn State (10- 4, 98.2) 5-15 -1.72 17.09 -0.86 0.96 -2.47
0 H Yale ( 5- 8, 94.8) 13-11 -5.12 13.70 -0.86 0.96 12.27
0 H Colgate (10- 7, 96.5) 5-16 -3.40 15.42 -0.86 0.96 -4.07
0 H Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 7-10 -5.81 13.00 -0.86 0.96 -6.38
0 H Drexel ( 7- 7, 91.8) 9- 6 -8.12 10.69 -0.86 0.96 9.40
0 A Penn ( 4-10, 94.3) 8-11 -5.64 13.17 0.86 0.96 -4.57
0 A St Josephs ( 9- 6, 95.0) 8-12 -4.86 13.96 0.86 0.96 -3.82
0 H Brown ( 3-10, 93.0) 16- 9 -6.88 11.94 -0.86 0.96 10.59
0 A Denver ( 7- 7, 94.4) 10- 9 -5.52 13.29 0.86 0.96 13.52
0 A Providence ( 7- 8, 93.9) 11- 8 -6.01 12.80 0.86 0.96 13.06
0 H St Johns ( 4-11, 90.2) 10- 7 -9.74 9.07 -0.86 0.96 7.85
0 H Marquette ( 7- 7, 93.5) 14-13 -6.43 12.39 -0.86 0.96 11.02
0 A Georgetown (10- 5, 95.6) 9-17 -4.31 14.50 0.86 0.96 -3.30
0 N Providence ( 7- 8, 93.9) 16-14 -6.01 12.80 -0.00 0.96 12.24
0 N Georgetown (10- 5, 95.6) 8- 6 -4.31 14.50 -0.00 0.96 13.86
------
79.20
|
winning pts = 103.8051 losing points = -24.6076
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------